Saturday, June 04, 2005

More stupid people: UFO believers

If UFO's exist, why is it that in Mexico, UFO contacts tend to be almost all telepathic in nature, but north of the border in the US, most of the contacts are "alien abductions"? The answer is obvious: UFO reports are culture-bound and have different traditions of lying or delusion in order to get attention.

I mean, can you imagine some aliens in their spacecraft saying, "Let's abduct this guy out in the field. How about it captain?" "No, remember we're over Mexico now, so we'll contact him telepathically."

True believers have a particular way of thinking. It goes like this: TB (the true believer) wants to believe in something (UFO's, ghosts, astral projection, religious miracles, etc.). After reasonable explanations are offered, the TB attempts to refute them. If, to TB's mind, he has refuted all the other explanations, then he has, to his mind, proven his preferred explanation.

Let's imagine for example that you have a pain in your leg You go to a doctor who runs some tests. After the tests, he says, "Well I see nothing wrong with your leg. Your nerves look okay as does your brain." "What can it be, then, doc?" "It's got to be caused by demons because we've eliminated all the other possible causes we can think of."

Looking at this medical example, I hope you can see the faulty reasoning. Well, this is basically the reasoning used by UFO proponents: "It apparently isn't reasonable explanations A, B, or C, so it must be (particular UFO hypothesis)." In science, including medical science, once you have eliminated A, B, or C, you keep looking for other reasonable explanations D, E, F, and so on.

Then, of course, there is the practical matter that it's very, very unlikely we will ever directly encounter aliens due to the incredibly vast distances involved as well as the risks of space travel coming from radiation, collisions with objects floating in space, and the deterioration over time of your spacecraft and its operating gear.

We may someday intercept a signal that most likely comes from an intelligent source (generated many hundreds, thousands, or millions of years ago), but it's highly unlikely we'll ever see an alien face to face.

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